New Study Predicts Year Your City’s Climate Will Change

Manokwari, Indonesia, is one of the places facing a “climate departure” within a few decades.

In seven years, inhabitants of New Guinea could be living in an unfamiliar world, one with a wholly different climate. A new analysis published today in the journal Nature finds that by 2020, New Guinea’s climate will permanently enter a state never seen before, outside of the bounds of historical variability and short-term extremes.

To put it simply: The coldest year in New Guinea after 2020 will be warmer than the hottest year anyone there has ever experienced.

The global analysis also predicts that if greenhouse gases continue to be emitted at a “business as usual” rate, New York City and Washington, D.C., will experience radically altered climates in 2047 (plus or minus about five years for a margin of error). So in about 35 years, even the coldest monthly dips in temperature on the eastern seaboard will be warmer than any time in the past 150 years.

“We’re providing a new metric on when ongoing climate change will lead to environments like we have never seen before,” lead researcher Camilo Mora of the University of Hawaii told reporters, “when the coldest year of the future will be warmer than the hottest year in the past.”

The study’s authors refer to this new metric as a “climate departure.”

Read the full story here.

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About jensera

Jennifer Harrington is a Toronto-based illustrator, writer and graphic designer. She illustrated the best-selling children’s book series 'A Moose in a Maple Tree,' which includes the titles 'A Moose in a Maple Tree,' 'The Night Before a Canadian Christmas' and 'Canadian Jingle Bells.' She is also the owner of JSH Graphics, a boutique graphic design agency that specializes in print and web advertising. With her latest project, Eco Books 4 Kids, Jennifer has partnered with illustrator Michael Arnott to create a series of ecologically-themed ebooks for children. Her next book, 'Spirit Bear,' is due for release in the Summer of 2013. Jennifer offers two different school presentations for her 'Moose in a Maple Tree' collection, an illustration demonstration and a Christmas concert series, which can be booked at She will be taking bookings for school readings of 'Spirit Bear' beginning in October 2013.

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